Year To Date: 17-13 (+1.72 units)

Last week’s slate had big expectations that weren’t exactly lived up to, but boy did I make the best of a mediocre situation for you readers. A 3-0 week has me feeling great into Week 11, let’s get some more winners on the board.

Duke vs Miami Over 54.5 -105

After a heartbreaking loss last week in South Bend, Miami may be looking to make a statement this week. Even without Malachi Toney, the Hurricanes offense looked fine. The issue so far this season has been the defense has been extremely questionable. That’s not exactly a problem you want to have when going up against a Duke team that has been firing on all cylinders as of late. Blue Devils running back Nate Sheppard may not be a Heisman favorite, but he is sneakily having one of the best seasons in the sport (1189 yards, 17 TD on the ground, 306 yards, 4 TD through the air). If Duke can control the ground game and put quarterback Walker Eget in a position where he doesn’t have to play hero ball, Duke can keep this game close. I have no concerns about Darian Mensah spinning it, he has a chance to cement himself as a lock to be a Heisman finalist, it’s all about this game staying close enough that neither side tries to bleed clock.

Washington -3 vs Michigan State -120

No one ever said all of my games would be pretty. Washington comes into this game just above .500, but have been in all of their games besides a blowout to Iowa. They’re a tricky team to read, they play games close but at points it looks like the team is on the verge of completely giving up. There were very high hopes for quarterback Demond Williams Jr. going into the season, and he has been as up and down as any player in the country. The talent is undeniable with both him and the rest of the roster, which is why I am backing them this week. Michigan State has been a mess all year, and coming off of a very emotional win last week against in state rivals Michigan, they are primed for a huge let down. In no world should this game be a three point spread. The Huskies aren’t world beaters, but Michigan State has played some of the worst football in the country this year. No extra stats, this is based off vibes. I fully anticipate Washington winning this game handedly.

North Dakota State -6.5 vs Hawaii -112

It pains me to bet against the Rainbow Warriors on the big island, but this years Hawaii squad has given me no confidence in backing them at any point. It has been a year to remember for the squad, especially quarterback Micah Alejado who many had as a top quarterback in the country going into the season. The top Mountain West has been a dog fight all year, and North Dakota State finds themselves squarely in the hunt for a regular season title in their first season in the FBS. With New Mexico and Wyoming still above them in the standings, they don’t have much room for error. Because the Mountain West doesn’t get the shine it necessarily deserves, no one is talking about how elite the Bisons defensive unit has been so far. They currently rank second in the entire country in total defense, allowing only 248 yards per game, not exactly what Hawaii wants to see when their offense has struggled so mightily. The strongest unit for the Bisons defense has been their secondary, giving up a minuscule 124 yards per game. Hawaii has had to rely heavily on Micah Alejado to make plays because their running game has struggled so badly, that should play right into the favor of the Bisons here. The North Dakota State offense hasn’t lit the world on fire, but I really don’t think they’re going to be asked to do anything crazy in this matchup. Keep things simple, keep the clock moving and get off the big island with a win.