Hello Friends, welcome back to the money back guarantee. Nice to be writing you all again after a winning week, sad to be writing you when it’s so close to the end of the regular season. Before the picks let’s do some housekeeping.
Another Thanksgiving Eve, black Wednesday, blackout Wednesday or whatever you call it is upon us. I’ve spoken about how much I enjoy Thanksgiving Eve before so we don’t have to do that again. But I will remind you if you are heading out please uber, taxi or have a friend be the designated driver. In 2025 there is simply no reason to get behind the wheel after having a few drinks.
Last week was a good overall week that should have been better if Tennessee could have brought home the best bet. We went 4-2 +1.66 units. We now stand at 33-30 +0.37 units. More disappointingly the best bet which has been awful continued its tailspin to 9-6 +1.91 units. Let’s get to the picks.

Minnesota @ Northwestern -4 O/U 40.5
Northwestern covered for us last week which is greatly appreciated. But it took a whole lot of help from the Wolverines. 5 Michigan turnovers and 2 missed kicks is crazy. I think Minnesota plays this one very close here. We’ll row the boat with the Gophers +4 -112.

USC @ Oregon -10.5 O/U 59.5
Huge game with huge playoff implications for both teams. This is absolutely an elimination game for the Trojans. I’m also of the belief that it’s an elimination game for the Ducks as well. I don’t think the committee has shown much love for the Ducks and their one loss. On the game I think 10.5 is a lot of points. This Trojan offense still very capable. We’re going to hit a double bet here. We’ll play over 59.5 -105 and we’ll take the points with the Trojans +10.5 -115.

Kansas State @ Utah -17.5 O/U 52.5
Utah has to keep winning and winning in style at that. I think there will likely only be one team in from the Big 12 so the Utes know they have to make the conference title game. I think you’re paying an absolute premium on the spread here with the Utes so I’d be cautious laying the points. Instead we’ll take Utah team total over 34.5 -118.

Tennessee @ Florida +4 O/U 57.5
All week I’ve been thinking Gators. I’m flipping here. We’re laying the points with the Volunteers here. I’m thinking last week was the gators final stand. Florida’s injury report is packed with guys questionable and out. Tennessee -4 -112.
Best Bet

Syracuse @ Notre Dame -36.5 O/U 50.5
The Orange are coming into Notre Dame stadium starting a freshman walk on. Notre Dame knows they have to win convincingly and I think they’ll do it. We lay the points with the Irish -36.5 -110.
On twitter you can find Mike @Mike_Sheerin, Tyler @TMon_19 and Sean @SeanMartinNFL. Subscribe to the site by hitting the follow button in the bottom right corner and entering your email address. Check out our Instagram feed @thebroadwaybreakdownsports for special gameday and promotional content. Our podcasts are available on Spotify. Visit the Rangers Ed Shop by clicking the link on our homepage. Check out our mailbag page to join the conversation here on the site and on our partners show, The Rangers Ed Podcast! We’ll be back with more soon.

Leave a comment