Hello friends, welcome back to the Money Back Guarantee.

No sugar coating last week. Our first consecutive losing weeks all season. The screen is shaking, the controller is vibrating. I want to deliver for the people and you just can’t have that. You just can’t have Cal throwing a pick 6 with under a minute left to blow the cover. You can’t have Tennessee moving the ball with ease and not capitalizing. To put a bow on the shit show that was last week we went 1-4 -3.05 units and the best bet went 0-2 -2 units. Now for the season we’re at 27-25 -0.25 units and the best bets are 9-4 +3.91 units. I’m labeling this as a can’t lose week.

Now for the picks,

Washington @ Wisconsin +10.5 O/U 44.5

Wisconsin has absolutely nothing to play for this season. The Badgers have lost 6 in a row. No brainer U Dub right?

Not so fast my friend. Wisconsin defense hasn’t quit yet and I have been thoroughly unimpressed by Jedd Fisch’s team. Again we’ll take the dog here Wisconsin +10.5 -105.

Indiana @ Penn State +14.5 O/U 50.5

The Hoosiers are on an absolute mission. Meanwhile everything that could have gone wrong for Penn State has. Also Cignetti likes style points. When he gets a team down he’ll keep them there. Hoosiers -14.5 -105

Oregon @ Iowa +6.5 O/U 42.5

I can’t quite work out how I feel about Oregon this season. I’m not a huge fan of Dan Lanning. They lost their biggest game of the season. Maybe the Ducks are overrated? Meanwhile they have to go Kinnick to play a gritty Iowa squad. I don’t know this just screams close game to me. Hawkeyes +6.5 -110.

SMU @ Boston College +10.5 O/U 54.5

SMU is coming off their biggest win of the season against the Miami Hurricanes. Now they have to go to Chestnut Hill to play Boston College. Huge letdown spot to me. Boston College +10.5 -115.

Best Bet

Duke @ UConn +8.5 O/U 63.5

The name of the game this week is going to be hold your nose. Duke has a huge game next week at home against Virginia. They are still in the mix for a conference title game berth. They have to go to sleepy Stohrs, Connecticut for a 3:30 non conference game? I think you could see some sloppy football here. We’ll take the under 63.5 -114.

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